Market Context
This week delivered a broad risk-off move, with downside expansion across BTC and major altcoins. Several assets traded below previously defined grid ranges, triggering automatic pauses in arbitrage activity.
This review focuses on structure and bot behavior, not short-term price prediction.
Active Bot Summary (Percentages Only)
BTC / USDT — Infinity Grid
- Total PNL: -12.8%
- Grid profit: +0.05%
- Status: Paused (price below lower limit)
Observation: The infinity grid behaved as designed. Arbitrage paused when price exited the range, with no forced selling or overtrading. This was a patience test rather than a strategy failure.
JUP / USDT — Bullish Grid
- Holdings PNL: -16.0%
- Arbitrage profit: +3.9%
- Status: Paused (price below range)
Observation: Volatility generated meaningful arbitrage yield, but bullish directional exposure dominated once price broke below the grid.
UNI / USDT
- Holdings PNL: -20.8%
- Arbitrage profit: +3.9%
- 24h activity: 0 rounds
Observation: UNI experienced both momentum loss and volatility compression, limiting grid effectiveness. This combination produced the deepest drawdown among active bots this week.
AVAX / USDT
- Holdings PNL: -16.6%
- Arbitrage profit: +2.5%
- 24h activity: Some continued trading
Observation: AVAX showed relative strength compared to other alt grids, maintaining limited arbitrage activity despite broader market weakness.
ETH / USDT
- Holdings PNL: -14.7%
- Arbitrage profit: +1.6%
- 24h activity: Low but steady
Observation: ETH remained the most stable position, with reduced volatility translating to smaller drawdowns and modest, consistent arbitrage.
What Went Right
- Bots paused automatically when price exited defined ranges
- No reactive or emotional intervention
- Arbitrage profits continued accumulating despite drawdowns
- Capital exposure remained bounded by grid structure
What Hurt
- Multiple grids shared similar downside exposure
- Lower bounds proved optimistic for this volatility regime
- Bullish bias across alt grids during BTC weakness
Lessons From the Week
This was a range-invalidation week, not a bot malfunction. Losses were primarily driven by directional exposure, while automation functioned as intended.
The focus remains on patience and capital preservation, waiting for BTC to re-establish structure before redeploying or adjusting ranges.
Forward Focus
- Let BTC lead before redeployment decisions
- Favor wider ranges and neutral bias in high-volatility regimes
- Reduce simultaneous alt exposure during risk-off phases
No changes executed this week. Observation > reaction.